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Human nature repeats itself in the stock market and now the real estate market. Prices are at their lowest in 2 years and more buyers than not won't pull the trigger. The hesitation to buy at these great prices is prevalent. The market upswing will invariably occur after the prices increase. Whether its stocks or homes, those brave souls that start the movement by buying at the bottom create their own success and take the largest return.
Recent article of interest:
(Excerp from the International Herald Tribune)
(Gainesville Sun, April 25, 2007)
A University of Florida study suggests the state's single-family residential housing market has bottomed out.
"If you're thinking of buying a house, there's probably not much to be gained by holding out at this point," said Wayne Archer, director of UF's Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies. "It doesn't look like prices are going to fall anymore."
The quarterly survey of real estate industry professionals completed in January shows the share of respondents observing a drop in single-family housing prices has dipped, while a growing number find prices staying even with inflation.
"We see that as a benchmark," Archer said. "When prices maintain the same level as inflation, then we're probably in some kind of equilibrium. It indicates the market is stabilizing."
The exception is condominiums, which Archer said are overbuilt and prone to speculative and naïve investors.
But the overall news is good - Archer pointed out the most recent results reflect the first time in the UF survey's five-quarter history that the buyers' investment outlook for residential development has brightened. It declined for the first three surveys and was flat for the fourth survey at the end of October, starting to rise only in this latest survey, he said.
Also, because of the dominance of single-family housing, Archer said the latest findings have far-reaching and potentially optimistic implications for the state's real estate industry.
"You can't get away from the fact that the single-family housing market is the single largest driver of the real estate market," he explained. "Most brokers and real estate agents are dealing with single-family housing. Most lending is for single-family housing. And home furnishings are driven by single-family housing. So when it stabilizes, that's important."
Archer pointed out a restricted supply of land for residential development meant there was less overbuilding than there might otherwise have been.
Condos did not have this land restraint, which is one reason they are overbuilt, he said.
At the same time, condos are prone to strong speculative swings because they are considered a relatively easy commodity to exchange - it's not difficult to acquire them in multiple units or to buy contracts on them, he said.
For the survey, UF's Survey Research Center questioned 318 industry executives, real estate lawyers, market analysts, title insurers, financial advisers, market research economists, real estate scholars and other professionals in the field.
The last survey had 183 respondents.
Prior to 2004, homes values in Gainesville increased from year to year in a steady upward flow of about 3 to 6% per year. Then in 2004 and 2005, Gainesville’s home sales growth accelerated along with the rest of the nation with annual appreciation well into the double digits. During this period, the normal slowdown after the summer surge just didn’t occur. Investors were still avoiding the stock market, college students and parents kept capitalizing on the low interest rates and as the rest of the nation experienced, values just kept rising as the buyers flooded the market from June, July, and August well into Fall, Winter and right on through to Spring. The natural drop in home sales went from frenzy to steadily fruitful.
The seller’s market has softened in Gainesville FL, but buyers are still here.
Each week Tanya Meme, the show's host, and her designer, Roger Hazard, tackle a "problem" home, and best of all, they do it in only 3 days and usually for less than $500. The transformations often seem miraculous, and homes that had been sitting for many months often sell within days after the re-design.
For more information, and a schedule of upcoming shows, go here:
http://www.aetv.com/sell_this_house/index.jsp